So what was the effect of the First Time Homebuyer Tax Credit? It may still be a bit early to tell, but one phenomenon is easy to identify. The number of properties placed under contract in May 2010 was at its lowest level in years. However, this should not be surprising. Buyers in the market for the first time, or the first time in a long time, had plenty of incentive to get their contracts executed before May. The net effect was to accelerate what would normally have been May contracts into April.
If this were indeed the case, then April contract should have been at an all time high. And, yes, they were. April’s new contract numbers are larger than they had been in recent memory, validating the “hurry up” mentality in the market.
But this does not answer the larger question of whether or not the First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit achieved its purpose. The purpose was to stabalize the housing market and housing prices across the country by adding pruchase demand to the economy. The increased demand fueld by the tax credit should have placed housing prices in check. If this incentive had achieved its purpose, housing markets would stabalize and the incentive could be removed. The US government decided that the end of April was a good point to check this correction.
I think it will be late summer to early fall before we get a true reading on the full effect. I hope it worked, but I have the sinking feeling that it did not run for quite long enough. Jobs reports continue to be suspect with claims that the private sector is now paying the lowest percentage of wages since the Great Depression. This does not bode well for increased housing sales. Bully for the average American, savings rates are rising across the country, indicating that people have learned at leasst a partial lesson for the time being. However, that too means that large expenditures are being placed on hold.
I believe the housing market in total will continue to be fragile. But what about your home? What if you have to move?
The news can get better. While the housing market is fragile, it is also starved for quality product. I can’t tell you how disappointed I am with many of the homes that I tour. There are a number of inexpensive repairs that can be done to a house to get it ready to bring to market. New carpet and paint, a deep cleaning and decluttering, inexpensive cosmetic updates, cleaning the yard, timming the bushes, removing debris, etc.
If you need to sell, please give me a call. I would be happy to schedule a walk-through and show you some of the easy things that will make your home sell quickly, even in a less robust market.
For those inclined to move up, this remains the best of markets to increase your home size.